Quote:
Originally Posted by Brad K
Would you be willing to explain why 250 ABs over three years isn't the same as 250 ABs over 1 year?
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Because players change over time and also because stringing together multiple years of small sample sizes is just not the same statistically as a larger sample from a shorter period of time if you are trying to get a snapshot of a player.
This is especially true when we are talking about professional baseball where small sample sizes over the course of a season are typically a result of either injury or (even more likely) just not being good enough to play more.
But if you don't believe that to be the case it is just fine and dandy, you can make the 3-year recalc based on 83 or 84 ABs per year which will stretch to approx. 250 ABs over the 3 years and magically, you have less adjusting.