Quote:
Originally Posted by joefromchicago
As with other stats that weren't recorded, I think OOTP estimates them for purposes of creating ratings.
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Thanks for your reply
I think you are suggesting that when OOTP grabbed Reiser's stats from Lahman (?), that Reiser's CS were 14, and that perhaps that number has since been updated due to work by researchers. Correct?
And that, regardless, OOTP would ignore pre-1951 CS stats and instead use estimates of its own?
Quote:
Originally Posted by joefromchicago
As such, the incomplete CS stats might not be as big of a problem as it might appear.
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I'm thinking that my 1946 NL stolen base leaderboard...
Reiser 61
Adams 53
Haas 37
... does not jibe very well with what these three guys actually did in 1946...
Reiser 34
Adams 16
Haas 22
Granted, each of these guys did play a bit more in OOTP than they did in real life. So that partially explains their higher-than-real-life SB totals. But I'm thinking their high (imported, not necessarily real) success rates factored into them attempting more steals, also.
(FYI, my sim is with 1-year recalc, no real lineups, pretty much all defaults beyond that...)
Of course, we already know that OOTP has an issue with top base stealers getting caught A LOT more than in real life. In the case of these guys, since - based on their imported stats - their high imported-but-not-real success rates (probably) caused them to steal more, OOTP still punished them by having them get caught stealing not just more than their imported-but-not-real success rates, but more than their actual success rates.