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Originally Posted by thehef
- If you are using real transactions (thus, players playing in the same ballparks as in real life) and neutralized stats, then the affect will be...
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As a conclusion to information presented in several earlier posts, one year neutralized stats setting is likely not to be a solution for those unhappy with the suppression of peak HR years by top players using "real" stats. On a 57 year test with one year recalc playing in historic parks with historic lineups top HR hitters significantly exceed their historic production.
It thus seems likely that them exceeding their historical peak years performance is due to the characteristics of the neutralized stats file or other game characteristics, not randomness as would be hoped. So people doing a one year replay have the choice between intentionally reduced performance (the real stats file) or accidentally increased performance (the neutralized file).
Anecdotal comments from users indicates use of neutralized 3 or 5 year recalc results in diminished career performance by top players. However it is believed these users used setting of a somewhat "what if" historical game, so a test using historic transactions and lineups needs to be done.
At present, the best use of the one year neutralized file is for "what if" historical games with TCR, development, trading, free agency prior to its historic inception, game generated injuries, random retirement, etc activated. That way the randomness created by these settings will create enough noise that the accuracy errors will not be noticed.