Quote:
Originally Posted by seasideda
But I think certain players like Ruth would hit more than the projected 31 hrs in my fantasy league when he hit 60 real life. Same goes for Foxx, Simmons Etc. who will hit well below the hr numbers.
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My experience suggests when a player has a super year you're not likely to get that super year in the game. You might get a super year in another year though.
1927 Ruth hit 60 HRs, significantly above his average for the previous five years even adjusting for missed games, and 13 more than his best in the previous five years. An outlier year.
I suspect the game doesn't rate him to hit 60 HRs in 1927 even if the rate on single year stats is selected. Because 60 is clearly his max ability and if he were rated for 60 he might hit 75. (Someone here has the ability to calculate how often that would happen, but not me.)
So in our games Ruth hitting 60 in 1927 has a lot of chance involved, just as it did real life. But but chance being involved he might hit 60 in 1926 or 1928.
In a more extreme case, would you want Norm Cash rated to hit .361 in 1961? If he's rating that way he might hit .400. And his RL BA is .271,
Hitting .361 is the best Cash could ever do with a combination of skill and all the breaks for a year.