Quote:
Originally Posted by Lukas Berger
Chapman's stuff is rated so that he is expected to keep up a K/9 ratio of over 18! During the May period, he 'only' had 13.5 K/9.
He's rated to have around a 3.5 K/, during May he had 4.5.
He's 'supposed' to only allow 1 HR every 23 or so innings, during May he allowed 1 in 12 innings.
So in all the ratings that matter, his May was subpar (for him, even if not for a normal mortal).
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So I think this is a light bulb moment for me. So let me see if I am correctly interpreting what you are saying. It isn't that the overall is adjusted based on a statistic (like FIP, wOBA, etc.), it is that the "individual" ratings are adjusted based on how they are doing based on projections, then the OVR rating is "computed" based on the new individual ratings.
So, for example, suppose that for Aroldis, K/9 is worse than projections, but BB/9 is better and HR/9 is better. His STU goes down, his MOV and EYE both go up. But you plug the new STU, MOV, and EYE numbers into whatever calculator you are using to generate OVR, and boom, he could do better than projected in overall FIP, but still end up with lower OVR.
Is this a correct summary? Thanks for entertaining these questions. I cannot imagine where else you could find the founder and CEO of a company willing to go on discussion boards and clarify things.