Quote:
Originally Posted by chazzycat
That's correct. And the number of runners on base is irrelevant, just the rate of homers allowed.
Surely those strikeouts & walk rates do matter, they help him from dropping even lower. But he is only beating his projections in those stats by a modest amount. For homers, he is giving up 1.7 per nine while only projected for 1.1, which is a significant increase.
The cards starting ratings are automated from ZiPS projections so looking at those, USUALLY things make sense. Not all the time but most.
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I understand that it looks like the number of runners on base doesn't matter for this game. In real life pitching though, it's very relevant. When there's no traffic on the bases, pitchers pitch more aggressively in the zone, especially when pitching with leads. There's some pitchers that give up lots of HRs with runners on because their focus and skill isn't good in those spots, or they just suck from the stretch. There's also some pitchers that can give up lots of traffic on the bases, but know how to deliver put out pitches in key spots to avoid runs.
I'm glad they are focusing more on FIP than these other useless stats. But I of course wish they'd combine some more advanced stats together. It is what it is...