Quote:
Originally Posted by Dave Stieb II
Which means absolutely nothing when grading arm strength. The stronger the arm an OF has, the less likely runners are to try and advance on him. So your smug reply does not fly with me.
Sometimes there truly are "lies, damned lies and statistics".
It's blasphemy to the analytics crowd on these boards, I know, but stats are dangerous if not combined with a good dose of common sense.
|
Yet after two years of 8 OF assists each he jumped up to 12 in 2003 and mostly stayed well above 8 until 2009. After that he never reached 8 OF assists in a year again.
To fit your theory he would have started off with a strong arm, then gotten weaker for six years, and then gotten strong again. And regardless of how good a throwing an OF is, throwing out runners relies not upon the OFers objective ability but rather the runner under rating the ability.