Quote:
Originally Posted by dkgo
Gold vs standard is a simple calculation. You are paying 2000 for a gold instead of bronze. 70% of the time that gold is a live worth 1000 meaning the 30% historical must sell for 4333 after tax. Thats 4766 before. No way the average historical gold hits that.
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A good way of looking at it but I think that is a slightly different question.
Anyway I redid Allenciox's expected resale numbers a bit after understanding his post (he was just spitballing the sell value numbers as well as I am). I tweaked Allenciox's non-live numbers down a bit and his live numbers up a bit and overall even my numbers now concede that 3 Regulars have a higher EV over 1 gold. The mistake I made above was valuing the REV (the 5 cards that could be anything) too low. If you are interested I see the REV at 158, the BEV at 45.5 and the GEV at 1470. So in my original comparison the extra 10 REVs + 3 BEV (1716 PPs) is greater than GEV (1470 PP).
You could tweak things further but this is enough of a difference that only major new evidence on sell value averages would change it.