Quote:
Originally posted by Skipaway
So how should the derivative be represented? Especially for cases like Brady Anderson 1996?
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Well, let's look at Brady Anderson. Let's pretend he has a Strat/APBA card (because that's easier for me to visualize than OOTP ratings) and he has a 1/18 chance of hitting a HR according to the card. Someone with math skillz could plot for us his 90th percentile HR total projection based on a full season. Now, let's compare that number to the 50 HR he hit. The difference between the expected max HR he could hit and the 50 HR he did hit is explainable only by some combination of luck and skill change. Of course the creatine and/or steroids didn't hurt.
I think that OOTP users, if forced to face it, would realize that they are of two minds when it comes to ratings/statistics in the game. Where a Brady Anderson or a Willie Blair or Bob Welch crazy season are perfectly acceptable in real life, they do not fit into a game well at all.