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Garlon · 11-29-2020, 11:59 AM

There are only a few issues remaining with historicals that could be modeled better.

1. Defensive ratings for catchers, infielders, and outfielders. The import process is flawed and generates poor results. There is enough statistical data to make this much better. There are even two ways to generate the ratings, either would be a significant improvement to the current ratings.

2. Pitcher Hold Runner rating. There is actual data that could be used for this since about 1925. For seasons before this a team value could be used since we have SB attempts against each team. The pitcher hold runner rating needs to have a greater affect on stolen base attempts. Currently the game uses catcher arm to affect attempts and the arm rating fails to properly model caught stealing percentage for catchers because they have one rating trying to do two jobs. Making catcher rating equivalent to caught stealing percentage and having the hold runner rating for pitcher influence the stolen base attempt rate could correct this issue.

3. Ballpark Factors. I created L/R discrete factors for BA/2B/3B/HR for every stadium since about 1905. The game does not currently even support 2B and 3B factors for L/R, only an overall factor. The factors can also be used for better player imports and I made those import formulas too, but I doubt they will make it into the game.

4. The Silvam historical ballparks should be included with the game even if the historical advertisements in those models need to be adjusted.

11-29-2020, 11:59 AM	#6
Garlon Hall Of Famer Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 4,254	There are only a few issues remaining with historicals that could be modeled better. 1. Defensive ratings for catchers, infielders, and outfielders. The import process is flawed and generates poor results. There is enough statistical data to make this much better. There are even two ways to generate the ratings, either would be a significant improvement to the current ratings. 2. Pitcher Hold Runner rating. There is actual data that could be used for this since about 1925. For seasons before this a team value could be used since we have SB attempts against each team. The pitcher hold runner rating needs to have a greater affect on stolen base attempts. Currently the game uses catcher arm to affect attempts and the arm rating fails to properly model caught stealing percentage for catchers because they have one rating trying to do two jobs. Making catcher rating equivalent to caught stealing percentage and having the hold runner rating for pitcher influence the stolen base attempt rate could correct this issue. 3. Ballpark Factors. I created L/R discrete factors for BA/2B/3B/HR for every stadium since about 1905. The game does not currently even support 2B and 3B factors for L/R, only an overall factor. The factors can also be used for better player imports and I made those import formulas too, but I doubt they will make it into the game. 4. The Silvam historical ballparks should be included with the game even if the historical advertisements in those models need to be adjusted.