Quote:
Originally Posted by Garlon
I tried a replay of the 1926 season using real transactions and lineups and those pitchers still make their starts.
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Well, of course pitchers are going to match their historical starts totals when you use historical lineups. That's sort of the bare minimum that we should expect from the game. But you didn't get historical
results in your replay.
For instance, your starters didn't make as many relief appearances as they did in 1926. That's to be expected, given the OOTP pitching model. As a result, your top starters didn't log as many innings as they did in real life, while your relievers made
way too many appearances.
Garland Braxton, in your replay, had 33 saves. In real life, Braxton didn't have 33 (retrospective) saves in his entire career.
You may have gotten some realistic ratios for IP/GS (I can't tell from the results you posted), but, as I mentioned before, IP/GS measures external variables in addition to a pitcher's endurance. As such, getting realistic IP/GS results in a replay would almost qualify as a statistical anomaly, sorta' like flipping a coin ten times and having it land heads every time. To the extent that your IP/GS results matched historical results, it would be due to a combination of stamina ratings, strategy settings, and luck.
But then those sorts of ahistoric results should have been expected. I saw the same thing while examining how OOTP's pitching model falls apart during the pre-reliever era. My point regarding stamina in particular, however, is not just that the stamina ratings themselves are flawed (they are). It's that they work in combination with the OOTP pitching model to produce some wildly inaccurate results for that era, specifically with regard to relievers. When OOTP assigns a low stamina to a part-time starter, it effectively consigns that pitcher to the bullpen, and then the AI uses that pitcher like a modern-day reliever. And there's no way out of that hole, because pitchers who aren't in the rotation are automatically designated as relievers and the AI never uses them as part-time starters (even though, theoretically, it could).
I'm confident that the only reason guys like Braxton and Myles Thomas and Bob Shawkey started in your replay is because you were using historical lineups. If you hadn't, they would have never gotten a starting assignment. And that, to me, is just one more indication that the OOTP pitching model doesn't work for the pre-reliever era. OOTP doesn't do a very good job with pitchers who straddled the line between starter and reliever, and that is due, in part, to the way it handles stamina.