[allenciox]

Ok, well, we can easily calculate the odds. According to the PT21 Card List (see sticky above), there are 80 non-SE historical perfects. That was last updated a couple of weeks ago, so does not include the ones added since then, so maybe 83 total there. Plus add on the 25 FOTF perfects that can also be drawn in packs makes 108.

The probability that your next perfect will be historical after drawing your first one is 40%. so the probability of drawing the same historical perfect with your next one is .4/108, or 0.37%, which is actually not as low as I would have thought.

Another way of putting it is that, suppose over the course of the game you open 10 historical perfects. The probability of having two identical historical perfects in a row over the course of that is approximately* 9*.4/108= 3.33%: i.e. about 1 in 30 people will have that occur for them.

* Note that I say approximately. That is because these probabilities discount possibility of it happening more than once for some of them, but that probability is small enough that it is only going to change by a tiny amount, perhaps 1 in 31 instead of 1 in 30, where one of those people has it happen twice instead of once.