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Old 08-24-2020, 08:01 AM   #1
DotDash
Minors (Double A)
 
Join Date: Sep 2019
Posts: 135
An initial look at today's Live updates - your thoughts?

Hi all,

The bi-weekly updates to Live cards seem to have gone through, and I am curious to know how these are being perceived by other players. Any (big) surprises that stand out, any updates you had hoped for but didn't materialize?
I had a look at the Diamond and Gold cards that I had been tracking (and buying where possible) and wanted to share my views on some updates that stood out to me - and would like to hear yours!

Realmuto - still no Perfect rating despite continued great production for a catcher, plus a defensive rating frozen at 103. Outperforming ZiPS OPS by about .100.
Rendon - bounced back to 97 after two weeks of stellar production.
Bieber - finally rewarded for his excellence so far this year, with a 97 rating.
Harper - expected him to be rated a bit higher than 95 after two weeks of excellence since the last update (1.150 OPS in last 15 games.)
Giolito - about where I expected at 95, after one bad and one excellent start since 8/10.
Tatis Jr. - a headscratcher to me at 93. His performance has dropped slightly since 8/10 when he was rewarded with +6 points while OPS-ing 1.227. He now sits at 1.073, which is still stellar, and I expected his ongoing production over a larger sample size to be rewarded with perhaps another point or two, not a decrease by four.
Hader - frozen at 93 despite still having an ERA of 0 and a miniscule WHIP of 0.55.
(Nick) Anderson - joins Hader at 93 with very similar production.
Hendriks - also makes the deserved jump to the 90's (92.)
Darvish - stuck at 92 despite three more very good starts since the last ratings change. Expected a bump of a point or two.
Greinke - now rated at 91, seems fine to me.
(Gleyber) Torres - just barely back in Diamond (90) after his eight point decrease last time around. He raised his batting average from .157 on 8/9 to .231 now, but this (and his other stats) is still so far below his ZiPS projection that I'm surprised by the correction back to Diamond.
(Taylor) Rogers - managed to make it to Diamond despite some very shaky outings since the last update. He now owns a .318 average against, up from .238 on 8/10. Not sure about this one, but I'll take it.
Buehler - started the season at 88, was bad for three starts, lost three points with the first update. Had another bad start after the update and then one good outing. Now he's rated higher (90) than he was before the season started (88.) Don't get it.
Maeda - up to 88 now. Wonder if he will keep outperforming his career stats, or if a regression is due?
(Sonny) Gray - unchanged at 86. Expected a small increase after two more nice starts, but fine.
Fried - not a big fan of the one point decrease. 3rd lowest ERA of qulified starters, low WHIP, zero HR given up, .188 avg against. Guess the model doesn't like the fact that he only went 5 IP during his latest outing?

*Rant zone starts here*

Trevor Bauer - had one start since the last update. Which was a (7-inning due to double-header) CGSO. Lost a point from 85 to 84. This is wrong and bad and I don't like it.
Lance Lynn - also had a (9-inning!) complete game since the last update (1 earned run allowed.) And a 7-inning outing where he surrendered just two runs on solo HRs. Lost two points despite owning a 1.37 ERA for the season and being rated mid-gold to begin with. Compare this to Buehler's update (and the season he's had so far) and you'll probably see my issue with this.

Looking further down the rankings, I can see more than a couple of updates which don't seem right to me already (.405-hitting Blackmon all the way back to silver, Winker, Yastrzemski, Verdugo not making it to gold, Framber Valdez losing four points after two wins with one earned run each, 1.000+ OPS Ian Happ stuck at 72, etc.)

But that's (more than) enough from me - what stuck out to you?
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