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Old 05-22-2020, 08:15 AM   #17
CBL-Commish
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Join Date: Dec 2001
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SirMichaelJordan View Post
But the combination is exactly what’s going on though. It’s working exactly how you have it set.

He had a bad current year, your current year evaluation is 50. His GM could give even more weight to current year and less to ratings based on the baseline set. There isn’t much weight to his last year stats where he was a 4.7 war in the minors. Not much there for his 2 years ago stats. It seem to me that the GM overreacted to his bad current year.

His current ratings aren’t that high and his true potential is really a mystery because he’s showing very low accuracy.

Yes he’s the number 1 prospect but I’m assuming it’s based on yearly and not dynamic meaning that it wasn’t updated at season end where he probably isn’t #1 anymore as that title was given in April because of his stats from last year most likely.
I just go back to the idea that in real life the #1 overall prospect in baseball would never, ever, ever be a 24-year-old second baseman in AA. Throw in a below-average season at 24 in AA and it's unlikely he makes a top 100 list by someone like Baseball America.

Look at the MLB top 100 right now. There are just nine players on the list aged 24 or older. There is one true second baseman, and a handful of others listed as SS/2B. The only 24+ year old still in AA is Yankee pitcher Clarke Schmidt, who didn't sign until he was 22 and only has 27 professional games under his belt.

I guess you could compare him to SS/2B Gavin Lux, who's the #2 overall prospect right now. But while this guy had a poor year at 24 in AA, Lux had a 1.197 OPS in AAA at 21 and has already made his MLB debut. There could hardly be a bigger difference.
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