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Their offensive production looks really darn close to one another. But we are judging mlb vs AAA. Yet that also means Baird most likely isn't fully developed. I find every prospect needs mlb time to fully develop. There is the flip side going to mlb and never making it.
Wrc+ would indicate they are both slightly above average. However Baird being 23 with no mlb time has the chance to keep going. First guy probably not.
Baird has room to improve extra base hits so he might be able to go past what Henderson can do.
So it comes down to Henderson being a known quantity and Baird still with some unknown. Baird should put up same offense that Henderson did. With a slight chance he goes beyond and a slight chance he busts.
If you like chance you go Baird if you like what is known you stay with Henderson.
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