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Old 05-04-2020, 05:01 PM   #13
Spieler
Minors (Double A)
 
Join Date: May 2003
Posts: 152
Quote:
Originally Posted by bailey View Post
There is a hidden rating called BABIP. (Note: Not to be confused with the BABIP statistic.) It was disclosed in the card list released for PT20. The assumption was that this is a fixed rating. But, what if it fluctuates from week to week? That would account for a lot of the variance if it were not fixed.
It is fixed. Well, except for Live cards week-to-week obviously, once real stats start rolling in. It is the factor that balances out the 3 true outcomes (K, BB, HR) to get a expected BA. Park factors and opponents defense are then the variables here.

Face a lot of good/poor defenders and/or skewed parks, you get varying results but still all based around the BABIP rating. Seems a little bit more pronounced to the negative side this year at higher levels as PEAK cards' defense haven't been nerfed like in the past.
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