Quote:
Originally Posted by BigRed75
It's skewed to Lives because the supply of Live cards is greater.
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I think you mean the right thing, but this is terribly formulated and could indicate the exact opposite of what it is.
More precise explanation: *A* live card is more likely to drop than *a* non-live card. (Is it still 70% live? Or did they change it to 65%? Or was it 75% in 19 and they changed it to 70% in 20? Sorry, bit fuzzy on this right now.
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Whether a *specific* live card is more likely to drop than a *specific* non-live card depends on the card supply in each group. Now, I have no idea how many historical perfects are in the game right now, but there seems to be precisely 11 live perfects. If live perfects drop at a rate of 70%, then 6.36% of all perfect cards will be a specific live card, say, Max Scherzer (which is the only one I have).
Since there is definitely *more* than 11 historical perfects, and they only represent 30% of the perfect cards, the odds are going to be much smaller for each individual historical perfect. At 20 cards it would be 1.5%; at 30 cards 1%; ... you get the idea.