Quote:
Originally Posted by Palaaemon
Keep something in mind. Stars like any ratings gauge in OOTP is a tool to be used to approximate a players overall abilities. Although stars are more volatile than absolute numbers as they allow for a range of numbers. Use them as a guide and no more. As far as the players involved in your trade, none of them will look like they do now when they mature. You will see ups and downs in regards to their abilities, some more than others potentially. Especially if a random talent change hits. What TRULY matters is how these players perform on the field. I have many times seen lower rated players out perform higher rated ones for various reasons. Something I have learned about prospects (and I am sure that I am not alone on this one) is that they may have all the potential in the world but it doesn't mean a thing until they prove it in the bigs. I no longer covet those 5* prospects like I used to. Don't get me wrong, I still go after them and develop them. I just go into drafting, trading for, signing, etc those high ranked prospects with the realization that few of them will actually achieve their full potential. That goes for almost all prospects not just 5*.
I hope this helps. I saw that Birdwatcher gave you some good advice especially about scouting.
Have a Great night!
Palaaemon
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Now, oddly, I have the lyrics "it don't mean a thing if it ain't got that swing" stuck in my head.

And I suppose they could be relevant here too on a couple of levels.
1) As you point out, ratings, especially overall/potential star ratings, fluctuate a great deal over the course of a career, and especially while a player is still developing in the minors, and...
2) the proof, ultimately, is in the pudding. In other, also just to agree with what you said above, what they do on the field when they reach the big show is all that really matters. And ratings, particularly overall/potential ratings, are just reasonable guesses as to what that might look like, at best.