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Old 10-05-2019, 11:16 PM   #10
QuantaCondor
All Star Reserve
 
Join Date: Nov 2018
Posts: 563
Quote:
Originally Posted by allenciox View Post
As you mention, you were way over the mark for diamonds drawn. This sounded pretty extreme to me, perhaps their indications of diamond frequency is off?

I thought I would use binomial cumulative distribution function to calculate how often it would be this "good" for 1000 packs. It turns out that getting 48 or more diamond cards in 1000 packs (which is how many you got) would happen only 0.96% of the time, so I wonder if their indication of odds of drawing a diamond is off?
For what it's worth, I've opened 60 packs over the last few days on my non-OL teams and pulled 6 diamonds, and there is a 1.5% chance of pulling at least that many diamonds. However, I haven't had nearly as good pack luck with challenge mode packs in general, so it might just be a kind of reporting bias.
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