Quote:
Originally Posted by bailey
10 packs = 7 live and 3 historical.
7 x 5000 = 35000
3 x 30000 = 90000
IMHO = still a losing prop.
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Well, that's still 125k in value, 112.5k after tax. Consider that the pack EV for standard packs is, conservatively, something like 500 PP. So, the 10 pack EV is something like 120k, if we're being conservative here. So that's -3k in EV per pack, conservatively. I'd argue that in this diamond-heavy meta, the average diamond might even be closer to 40k or more, especially when you take into account those huge value diamonds that drag the distribution upwards. It's already better than normal packs even before considering those high value cards.
I could see it being at least close to even EV. It's certainly a lot closer to even than normal; if a team wanted to gamble, there are a LOT of worse decisions you could make with your PP. All those people who blow money on packs thinking you could make something out of it, this is your time to shine.