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Verlander and Cole are hampered by their hr/9. Verlander is allowing 1.5 hr/9; the highest rate in his career so his movement is down. Stuff (k/9) and control (bb/9) are fine though.
Cole is allowing 1.3 hr/9, second highest in his career, so again, movement is hampering him. Stuff and control are fine since his k/9 and bb/9 are both solid.
Jack Flaherty is allowing 1.2 hr/9 and ZIPS isnt too kind to him. Projecting him to give him 9 runs, in 3 more HR, in his final 20 innings, so he would finish with a 3.65 ERA, nearly 0.66 higher than his current ERA. Also projecting a WHIP of 1.25 which is 25% higher than his current WHIP. Essentially they're expecting regression.
The calculations include a number of variables and the overall of a player does too. In the case of Verlander and cole, they're hampered by HRs, which is pretty much every live pitcher out there besides someone like soroka, etc. For Flaherty, they're expecting regression, similar to Lucas Giolito, Jorge Soler, etc. These cards will benefit greatly in the next version when ZIPS accounts for a full year of significant production.
Just reiterating what the Devs say on nearly all of these posts so I'm trying to save them time so they can keep working on Tournaments!
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