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You can definitely find good pitchers 96-99 which are "reasonable" at 40-50k. But basically, aside from CC Sabathia and maaaybe Eddie Plank, it's crazy how 90-94 pitchers are consistently much worse than 95-99. The gap between 90-94 and 95-99 is about as wide as it is between 80-89 and 90-94. In fact, with the exception of the *absolute* top end, 100 rated pitchers are not much better than those more expensive 96-99 pitchers.
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So I think that is basically right --- there is a huge difference between the low 90s (90-94), and (95-100). However, there are notable exceptions in both categories.
95+ OL=compliant SPs to stay away from:
96: Ryan, Soto, and Vander Meer
95: Lincecum, Jenkins, and Cone
< 95 OL-compliant pitchers that can be ok:
94: Sabathia, Plank, Reuschel, Carlton
93: Schooler, Moore
92: Carlos, Maddux, Trout, Myers, Sad Sam Jones, Rogers
91: Astacio
89: Maddux
HIgh MOV is very important in perfect (about equal to CON+STU together). CON follows, STU is less important. CON below 50 is bad.
So what are the best values/deals <= 30k on OL-compliant pitchers, in my opinion?
#1, by a wide margin: Eddie Plank (94): He is much cheaper on AH (about 20-22k) than other pitchers at his level. Why is he so cheap? Primarily because his collection (Oakland LIVE) is so cheap to complete. It generally can be completed for 15k-18k. So that is a great <=20k option that just about anybody can do.
#2: Robin Roberts(95): I have no idea WHY he goes for less than 20k, but he does, consistently.
#3: Reuschel(94): around 25k, slightly worse than Plank
#4. Sabathia(94): Right around 30k... slightly better pitcher than Plank, but more expensive.