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Current status of P406 heading into last day
Well, with one day to go in P406 season, things are starting to take shape for the OL patrons. There are thirteen teams; and we dominate at the lower end and the higher end of the records.
On the lower side of the ledger, it appears almost certain that both the Seattle Pilots and the Chippewa Gray Wolves will be in Diamond next season. Joining them will likely be one or two of the following teams: the Ewa Beach Fighting Chickens and/or the Palolo Puppies (or possibly, if they have a losing streak, the Cigar City Lagers).
The two best records in the league are, surprisingly, also OL teams: the Southern Southpaws (87-48) and the Bold Strategy Cottons (81-52). Surprisingly, both teams have better records than the megawhale in perfect --- this is all the more notable for Cottons since they are in the same division as the megawhale. Both teams have essentially already punched their tickets for the playoffs (both show playoff odds at 100%). However, other OL teams are likely to join them.
The Battery Point Energizer Bunnies (70-64) lead the AC East by 2 1/2 games and are estimated by the Pennant Race tab to have a 73.4% chance of making the playoffs, while the Virginia Freeloaders (74-59) are only 1 1/2 games away from the division lead in the NC Central and in a strong first place in the Wild Card Standings. The game estimates an 89.8% chance of their making the playoffs in one or the other capacity. One item of note for the Bunnies is that they had a horrendous start to the season with a 21-33 record at the end of May (and 34-47 at the end of June). But they came roaring back with a record of 35-16 in July and August combined. This is interesting since there have been no new players added to the team this year.
Two other OL teams have outside chances at making the playoffs: the Aina Haina Parakeets (68-65) are at 12.5% and the MInneapolis Gauchos (66-67) are at 1.8%.
On a personal item of note, my third team, the Caspers (NFTP) are also leading the AC Central, with a 74-59 record, and are estimated to have an 82.5% chance of playoffs. They have never made the playoffs in perfect; and there is at least a reasonable chance that all three of my teams could be in the playoffs this year in this league.
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