Quote:
Originally Posted by One Great Matrix
You say Ruth's WAR is not weighted against Trout's WAR but that's exactly what the statistic is doing. IF Ruth were to play in the majors next year at the age of 26 he likely wouldn't put up the same numbers he did back when he WAS 26.
Plus, like I said that's what the stat is doing, it's weighing (even if by weighing each player against an imaginary replacement) how well the player did relative to them.
Therefore if this imaginary replacement remains the same while you move from Silver to Diamond Leagues then the WAR will change as well. That part is obvious maybe...
Lost my train of thought but hey, there are various ways to calculate a conceptual statistic. If the number was that accurate in regards to "wins vs. Player B" you could add up the WAR of a team and get say their wins above .500 or what-have-you, it would reflect a little more directly.
Even if they don't compare Trout to Ruth, I argue they do. With HR Trout has a number and Ruth has a number. With WAR they both have a number but it's a rating of their performance. So they are not weighted against one another but the idea is to compare their overall performance.
Kinda getting what I mean?
How many HR did he hit? 52. Trout? 37
What was his WAR? 20.6 The whole idea of knowing the next player's is you're comparing them. Nothing independent.
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Like Matt said, they're using generic league averages rather than set-in-stone, (simulated) historical averages to calculate replacement level, which is why you see the fluctuations in Betts' WAR in past seasons. I see why they did do it with teams floating between leagues and levels, but I didn't find anything on it when I searched the forums.
But here in the real world, WAR--WAR never changes.