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Bub13 · 04-20-2019, 04:09 PM

2046 DRAFT and SYSTEM OVERVIEW

Can I just say that once again it is difficult to maintain focus when you get past, say, round 6, and you're trying to decide whether to select that outfielder who can run and field but couldn't hit a wiffle ball ten feet, or that pitcher who never learned how to make the ball "do bendy things" when throwing? Having said that...at least we have a number of high picks, with two selections (um...how? I can't remember.) in the 1st round, and two supplemental picks thanks to losing some not-so-cheap free agents last year. We also have two 10th round picks, but you probably don't want to hear about them...

......

The top five picks belonged to Pittsburgh, Texas, San Francisco, Houston, and the Yankees. San Fran, Arizona, Boston, Oakland, and us each had two picks in the first. Pittsburgh led off by selecting pitcher Josh Hohn out of the University of Mississippi. If he sounds familiar, it's because Texas took him #1 overall last year but couldn't sign him. Ha! Like last year, control looks like his only weakness, but he is definitely at least A-ball ready right now. Texas then took another hard-to-sign pitcher, 18-year-old Bobby Daniel. A bit of a reach if you ask me, as he looks like a decent back-end starter (better movement than stuff, and no fastball). Can they sign him, tho? The Giants took the first fielder, selecting high school OF Darius Williams. Solid pick: five tool guy, and a hard enough worker that he could exceed his already-high ceiling. Houston then grabbed one of the few decent pitchers left, getting 23-year-old Oliver Bergquist. He was taken #6 by the Cubs last year, and...well, you know the drill. He looks okay, but doesn't blow the doors off at the moment. With the last of the top five picks, the Yanks took OF Chris Mitchell: very fast kid, good fielder, but is a bottom-of-the-lineup hitter and not the solid lock you'd want to take at #5.

Sleeper pick: I like Montreal's choice of 3B Tim Bell at #8. He's probably the 2nd best hitter in the first round, after the Giants choice of Williams. Blue Jays 1B Ian Logan (#11) and Arizona OF Chris Piper (#16) should have been top ten picks, imo.

Definite reach: No real glaring mistakes, but with high-quality pitching all but gone after the first 20 picks, the Orioles surprised everyone by taking (Hawaiian!) high schooler Jarret Corrigan at #24. I say 'surprise' because he's a high-stuff/low-movement-and-control reliever, who would've been available a round or two later, for sure. As for batters, Philly took OF Mark Schrock at #30. He can run all day and hit some doubles, but that's about it.

Best first round name: Cubs pitcher Adam Krull (#7) and Giants OF Dave Griffey (#10). Disappointed he's not Ken Griffey III tho.

......

Here's a run-down of our top picks:

Rnd 1, 28th overall: P Josh Frederick, 23, North Carolina. Why, yes, we did take him in the first last year. (Draft Day 2046 has a theme, apparently.) Listed--and drafted--as a pitcher, but will get moved to the outfield. He will sign this time, oh yes.

Rnd 1, 31st overall: 2B Josh Matson, 22, Arizona State. Solid contact and line drive hitter, and has a little pop too. Won't walk much. Good runner, good enough in the field. Probably limited to second base only: good glove in the outfield, but no arm.

Supplemental, 55th overall: P Kevin Walker, 17, high school. Moderate ceilings, but good intangibles will definitely help. Has stamina to start, and should develop a quality cutter/slider/changeup variety.

Supplemental, 58th overall: P Tim Mitchell, 21, Iona. Another dart at the board. Looks similar to Walker, above, but with better stuff and slightly lower movement and control. Should develop nice fastball, and a slider/change to go with it. Future starter.

Rnd 2, 87th overall: P Jeremy Kolek, 21, Rice. You can't have enough pitchers, ever, so I took Kolek despite him being strictly a reliever. Should be a solid contributor, and in the not-too-distant future. Probably ready for A ball, at least.

Rnd 3, 124th overall: OF Marc McKenzie, 21, Cal State-Fullerton. Perhaps a bit of a reach, as he looks like backup material only right now. Speedy, good fielder with a so-so arm. More of a singles/groundball hitter, with zero power.

Rnd 4, 161st overall: OF Joe Lynn, 17, high school. Intriguing prospect. Decent contact, better gap power, little HR power. Won't walk, but won't strike out either. Incredibly fast, probably one of the fastest in baseball, but not an outstanding base runner. Great range, bad glove, decent arm. High work ethic. Like I said, intriguing.

Rnd 5, 165th overall: OF Chris Henderson, 18, high school. Looks kind of like 3rd rounder McKenzie, but with better power and a rocket arm. Feel like I really stocked up on outfielders this year.

Best of the rest: Catcher Luis Hernandez (6th) could be a decent backup one day; OF Nick Cooley (10th) has some hitting chops, but has an iron glove. The rest are the usual assortment of high-character guys who will exceed their low ceilings, but not get anywhere near the bigs, most likely.

......

Without factoring in this year's draft, MLB says our prospects rank 3rd, with four players placing in the top 100 prospects. Two are in the bigs already, and one was just moved up to AAA. More detail:

#1: 3B Dante Padilla, 22, 6th ranked by MLB. Santa Barbara (AAA), 5-for-9 with a HR after his AAA promotion. Also hit .241 in 48 games with AA. Couldn't hit a lick in the low minors, but his bat is finally coming around the higher he gets. Hitting ceilings look great, with power, eye, and low strikeouts. Biggest drawback is his poor glove, and lack of any speed on base. Still, he could be on the hot corner as soon as next year, and might get a few swings this September.

#2: P Olimpio Le Coq, 20, 22nd ranked. Athens (R), 14 GS, 3-2, 2.90 ERA last year. He's moving up our prospect ranks, but hasn't developed much over the past year. Has four pitches, and good stuff, but needs to work on his movement in order to be a truly legit prospect.

#3: IF Manny Rangel, 25, 30th ranked. Hawaii, .240/0/5 in 50 AB. Bat is coming around some after a slow start, and will get some quality reps over the next couple of weeks after Stoneback's injury. Probably won't hit for high average, but looks decent enough across the board, and with really strong fielding, that he could be our regular second baseman by next year. Decent OF as well.

#4: OF Kenny Welch, 23, 75th ranked. Hawaii, no stats. Just called up from AAA, where he was .320/8/34. If he can hit in the majors, he'll be a fixture for quite a while. Looks to have 25-HR power, with good contact too. Great arm, but little range. And not a runner, at all.

#5: P Shaun Gates, 22, 120th ranked. Lewiston (AA), 11 GS, 3-5, 4.26 ERA. Hasn't yet pitched as well as he did last year, but scouts say he's developing nicely. Looks like he's ready for AAA, but is hampered by a logjam of pitchers there. He wants to be in the bigs, so I'll probably move him up a level soon. I want him competing for our rotation next season.

#6: P Jonathan Ashton, 19, 138th ranked. Rookie ball, no stats yet. 2045: 14 GS, 4.46 ERA. Supplemental pick from last year. Right now, looks to become a #3 or so starting pitcher, which works for me. Groundball pitcher, which I like. Looks to develop four good pitches, and like most kids, needs serious work on his control.

Others of note:
P/OF Phil Lasky, 24: could be a real two-way player, but maybe is a slightly better pitcher right now. Might get him some MLB time this year.
OF Cameron Daley, 22: hitting .341 in AAA, so is probably ready right now. Might be our LF by next season, easy.
1B Roberto Navarette, 18: still in the intl. complex; scouts still say he's going to be a dynamite hitter.
SP Shamar Jackson, 23: pitching well in AAA, with one bad start in Hawaii. Looks like another 3/4-type SP. Knuckleballer.

04-20-2019, 04:09 PM	#218
Bub13 All Star Reserve Join Date: Apr 2014 Location: Maine Posts: 748	2046 DRAFT and SYSTEM OVERVIEW Can I just say that once again it is difficult to maintain focus when you get past, say, round 6, and you're trying to decide whether to select that outfielder who can run and field but couldn't hit a wiffle ball ten feet, or that pitcher who never learned how to make the ball "do bendy things" when throwing? Having said that...at least we have a number of high picks, with two selections (um...how? I can't remember.) in the 1st round, and two supplemental picks thanks to losing some not-so-cheap free agents last year. We also have two 10th round picks, but you probably don't want to hear about them... ...... The top five picks belonged to Pittsburgh, Texas, San Francisco, Houston, and the Yankees. San Fran, Arizona, Boston, Oakland, and us each had two picks in the first. Pittsburgh led off by selecting pitcher Josh Hohn out of the University of Mississippi. If he sounds familiar, it's because Texas took him #1 overall last year but couldn't sign him. Ha! Like last year, control looks like his only weakness, but he is definitely at least A-ball ready right now. Texas then took another hard-to-sign pitcher, 18-year-old Bobby Daniel. A bit of a reach if you ask me, as he looks like a decent back-end starter (better movement than stuff, and no fastball). Can they sign him, tho? The Giants took the first fielder, selecting high school OF Darius Williams. Solid pick: five tool guy, and a hard enough worker that he could exceed his already-high ceiling. Houston then grabbed one of the few decent pitchers left, getting 23-year-old Oliver Bergquist. He was taken #6 by the Cubs last year, and...well, you know the drill. He looks okay, but doesn't blow the doors off at the moment. With the last of the top five picks, the Yanks took OF Chris Mitchell: very fast kid, good fielder, but is a bottom-of-the-lineup hitter and not the solid lock you'd want to take at #5. Sleeper pick: I like Montreal's choice of 3B Tim Bell at #8. He's probably the 2nd best hitter in the first round, after the Giants choice of Williams. Blue Jays 1B Ian Logan (#11) and Arizona OF Chris Piper (#16) should have been top ten picks, imo. Definite reach: No real glaring mistakes, but with high-quality pitching all but gone after the first 20 picks, the Orioles surprised everyone by taking (Hawaiian!) high schooler Jarret Corrigan at #24. I say 'surprise' because he's a high-stuff/low-movement-and-control reliever, who would've been available a round or two later, for sure. As for batters, Philly took OF Mark Schrock at #30. He can run all day and hit some doubles, but that's about it. Best first round name: Cubs pitcher Adam Krull (#7) and Giants OF Dave Griffey (#10). Disappointed he's not Ken Griffey III tho. ...... Here's a run-down of our top picks: Rnd 1, 28th overall: P Josh Frederick, 23, North Carolina. Why, yes, we did take him in the first last year. (Draft Day 2046 has a theme, apparently.) Listed--and drafted--as a pitcher, but will get moved to the outfield. He will sign this time, oh yes. Rnd 1, 31st overall: 2B Josh Matson, 22, Arizona State. Solid contact and line drive hitter, and has a little pop too. Won't walk much. Good runner, good enough in the field. Probably limited to second base only: good glove in the outfield, but no arm. Supplemental, 55th overall: P Kevin Walker, 17, high school. Moderate ceilings, but good intangibles will definitely help. Has stamina to start, and should develop a quality cutter/slider/changeup variety. Supplemental, 58th overall: P Tim Mitchell, 21, Iona. Another dart at the board. Looks similar to Walker, above, but with better stuff and slightly lower movement and control. Should develop nice fastball, and a slider/change to go with it. Future starter. Rnd 2, 87th overall: P Jeremy Kolek, 21, Rice. You can't have enough pitchers, ever, so I took Kolek despite him being strictly a reliever. Should be a solid contributor, and in the not-too-distant future. Probably ready for A ball, at least. Rnd 3, 124th overall: OF Marc McKenzie, 21, Cal State-Fullerton. Perhaps a bit of a reach, as he looks like backup material only right now. Speedy, good fielder with a so-so arm. More of a singles/groundball hitter, with zero power. Rnd 4, 161st overall: OF Joe Lynn, 17, high school. Intriguing prospect. Decent contact, better gap power, little HR power. Won't walk, but won't strike out either. Incredibly fast, probably one of the fastest in baseball, but not an outstanding base runner. Great range, bad glove, decent arm. High work ethic. Like I said, intriguing. Rnd 5, 165th overall: OF Chris Henderson, 18, high school. Looks kind of like 3rd rounder McKenzie, but with better power and a rocket arm. Feel like I really stocked up on outfielders this year. Best of the rest: Catcher Luis Hernandez (6th) could be a decent backup one day; OF Nick Cooley (10th) has some hitting chops, but has an iron glove. The rest are the usual assortment of high-character guys who will exceed their low ceilings, but not get anywhere near the bigs, most likely. ...... Without factoring in this year's draft, MLB says our prospects rank 3rd, with four players placing in the top 100 prospects. Two are in the bigs already, and one was just moved up to AAA. More detail: #1: 3B Dante Padilla, 22, 6th ranked by MLB. Santa Barbara (AAA), 5-for-9 with a HR after his AAA promotion. Also hit .241 in 48 games with AA. Couldn't hit a lick in the low minors, but his bat is finally coming around the higher he gets. Hitting ceilings look great, with power, eye, and low strikeouts. Biggest drawback is his poor glove, and lack of any speed on base. Still, he could be on the hot corner as soon as next year, and might get a few swings this September. #2: P Olimpio Le Coq, 20, 22nd ranked. Athens (R), 14 GS, 3-2, 2.90 ERA last year. He's moving up our prospect ranks, but hasn't developed much over the past year. Has four pitches, and good stuff, but needs to work on his movement in order to be a truly legit prospect. #3: IF Manny Rangel, 25, 30th ranked. Hawaii, .240/0/5 in 50 AB. Bat is coming around some after a slow start, and will get some quality reps over the next couple of weeks after Stoneback's injury. Probably won't hit for high average, but looks decent enough across the board, and with really strong fielding, that he could be our regular second baseman by next year. Decent OF as well. #4: OF Kenny Welch, 23, 75th ranked. Hawaii, no stats. Just called up from AAA, where he was .320/8/34. If he can hit in the majors, he'll be a fixture for quite a while. Looks to have 25-HR power, with good contact too. Great arm, but little range. And not a runner, at all. #5: P Shaun Gates, 22, 120th ranked. Lewiston (AA), 11 GS, 3-5, 4.26 ERA. Hasn't yet pitched as well as he did last year, but scouts say he's developing nicely. Looks like he's ready for AAA, but is hampered by a logjam of pitchers there. He wants to be in the bigs, so I'll probably move him up a level soon. I want him competing for our rotation next season. #6: P Jonathan Ashton, 19, 138th ranked. Rookie ball, no stats yet. 2045: 14 GS, 4.46 ERA. Supplemental pick from last year. Right now, looks to become a #3 or so starting pitcher, which works for me. Groundball pitcher, which I like. Looks to develop four good pitches, and like most kids, needs serious work on his control. Others of note: P/OF Phil Lasky, 24: could be a real two-way player, but maybe is a slightly better pitcher right now. Might get him some MLB time this year. OF Cameron Daley, 22: hitting .341 in AAA, so is probably ready right now. Might be our LF by next season, easy. 1B Roberto Navarette, 18: still in the intl. complex; scouts still say he's going to be a dynamite hitter. SP Shamar Jackson, 23: pitching well in AAA, with one bad start in Hawaii. Looks like another 3/4-type SP. Knuckleballer. __________________ Introducing Your Hawaii Islanders!