Quote:
Originally Posted by allenciox
So I recently did a regression analysis predicting ERA+ for pitchers for the first few seasons for three different leagues in PT 20. I included as potential predictors all the different pitcher ratings, and performed the analysis separately for starters and relievers. For starters, only 3 ratings played any part in predicting their ERA+, and they are the ones you would expect, in order of importance: CON under 50, MOV , STU, CON over 50. (The model found that additional points in CON over 50 were worth only half as much as points below 50).
For relievers, the same results held up with one exception: STM (stamina) was an extra variable in the model, significantly less important than the other three but very statistically significant (p < .0001). Relievers with higher stamina ratings did better holding all other attributes constant. That suggests to me that the game does penalize tired pitchers (and also suggests that it generally does consistently substitute for SPs when they get tired).
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Right on! I thought my thread was dead and buried but as usual, this community turns out to be super rad.