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NoOne · 04-08-2019, 04:24 AM

in the past i haven't seen that type of volatility with the elite players. with good players, sure... but not the true top-shelf guys.

plenty of good players can put up top-shelf seasons... but time will always out them for what they are... good but not great.

you can find a thread where i am boggled by a HoF first ballot guy out of nowhere is incompetent 1 year... but so in frequent that it's not a concern and plausiable, anyway. usually it's a few months and they revocer... occasionally it's a season-long funk, and i don't play with delayed/hidden injuries, i so iknow if it is caused by that, at least.

i'd say it's a bit murky if certain settings are on -- like delayed injuries... or dtd injuries throughout year etc... could be other factors causing such wild swings. inaccurate scouting is another... natural ebb and flow of player ratingsn over time, too...

or, they guy isn't that good.. got lucky early in career and is now showing his true colors...

or, ratings can waffle a bit... i don't think it's 100% linear as far as ratings -> production. e.g. a 64 vs 66 may not be the same difference as 69 vs 71. if a player is naturally waffling between the next tier up and down a tier, it'd cause more volatile results.

e.g. 81+ contact in years past is a totally different animal than sub-81. drastically more volatility from guys in the 70's than 80s.

distribution is a bit different than in year's past... so if it got clumpier in the middle and lower portions, that would exacerbate the phenomenom i just mentioned, best guess.

you could be right... and not asking for more info... it'd be impossible to tell from one example with the eye. time will tell..

as far as tricks you might be able to do... i find increasing offense creates more differentiation from bottom to top in league, which should make the top guys a bit more consistent/better, all other things remaining the same.

if ba is the issue, increase modifier for hits... raise league BA by .005 or so and see what happens. it doesn't take much.

i find low ~.250s league BA results in clumpy and volatily results of even the higher end guys in the past. ~258-262 really opens it up... and @ .258 you are still very very unlikely to see a .400BA guy even in 100 years. just depends on your preferences as to what you want to see on that.

04-08-2019, 04:24 AM	#2
NoOne Banned Join Date: Apr 2015 Posts: 7,273 Infractions: 0/1 (3)	in the past i haven't seen that type of volatility with the elite players. with good players, sure... but not the true top-shelf guys. plenty of good players can put up top-shelf seasons... but time will always out them for what they are... good but not great. you can find a thread where i am boggled by a HoF first ballot guy out of nowhere is incompetent 1 year... but so in frequent that it's not a concern and plausiable, anyway. usually it's a few months and they revocer... occasionally it's a season-long funk, and i don't play with delayed/hidden injuries, i so iknow if it is caused by that, at least. i'd say it's a bit murky if certain settings are on -- like delayed injuries... or dtd injuries throughout year etc... could be other factors causing such wild swings. inaccurate scouting is another... natural ebb and flow of player ratingsn over time, too... or, they guy isn't that good.. got lucky early in career and is now showing his true colors... or, ratings can waffle a bit... i don't think it's 100% linear as far as ratings -> production. e.g. a 64 vs 66 may not be the same difference as 69 vs 71. if a player is naturally waffling between the next tier up and down a tier, it'd cause more volatile results. e.g. 81+ contact in years past is a totally different animal than sub-81. drastically more volatility from guys in the 70's than 80s. distribution is a bit different than in year's past... so if it got clumpier in the middle and lower portions, that would exacerbate the phenomenom i just mentioned, best guess. you could be right... and not asking for more info... it'd be impossible to tell from one example with the eye. time will tell.. as far as tricks you might be able to do... i find increasing offense creates more differentiation from bottom to top in league, which should make the top guys a bit more consistent/better, all other things remaining the same. if ba is the issue, increase modifier for hits... raise league BA by .005 or so and see what happens. it doesn't take much. i find low ~.250s league BA results in clumpy and volatily results of even the higher end guys in the past. ~258-262 really opens it up... and @ .258 you are still very very unlikely to see a .400BA guy even in 100 years. just depends on your preferences as to what you want to see on that.