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Having the same experience with the live Syndergaard card. Pure speculation on my part, but I think the overall rating is misleading. Historical cards (with a couple exceptions) perform better for me.
If I had to guess, devs setup historical cards with some sort of "x" factor in the background that leads to better performances than live cards of equal or higher overall rating.
It annoyed me at first but now I kinda like searching for older guys. Mixing old and current cards spices things up for me.
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