OOTP Developments Forums - View Single Post - Struggling With Blue Jays Owner Expectations

NoOne · 03-17-2019, 06:59 AM

if i see a prospect stagnating at ~21-22, or a "3rd" pitch for a SP still reading 1/100 etc... i am looking to trade those guys before they lose value. the pitcher example there needs to be done before 22, most liekly... sometimes high talent can keep them interested longer.

if you let them show their colors, they lose value. you can see these guys are more likely to fail, but not guaranteed... with the right level of talent i'll take a risk, but otherwise i look to trade before they lose value. if you can start to recognize things that are nearly impossible to overcome, get rid of those guys before the AI recognizes it.

sure, some go on to great careers elsewhere, but a large portion are half-developed or out of league in no time. play the odds once you recognize them. start paying attention to dynamics of those that fail to devlope.

not everyhting is predictable. i think batters are easier to see, but unlike pitchers you theres not 1 thing that is always goes wrong as often as a 1/100 pitch not moving. either they stagnate or they do not... pitchers stagnate all the time, lol.. .but if one pitch never budges, that's a guaranteed RP and he's not beign traded for anything of value once the AI recognizes it too... you will see it first, though.. so take advantage of it.

dont' worry if power doesn't develop.. but by 24-25 if it's not at least creepign up, it's not likely going to. if it's been the same value for multiple years in AAA andinto MLB career, write it off. let someone else pin hopes on losing odds.

i still rely on age... once they get to 23-24+ the odds of development keep going down even faster... peak dev ages, imo, are 18-22. 23-24 is fine... but 25-26+ is abysmal percentages and get worse each year.

03-17-2019, 06:59 AM	#16
NoOne Banned Join Date: Apr 2015 Posts: 7,273 Infractions: 0/1 (3)	if i see a prospect stagnating at ~21-22, or a "3rd" pitch for a SP still reading 1/100 etc... i am looking to trade those guys before they lose value. the pitcher example there needs to be done before 22, most liekly... sometimes high talent can keep them interested longer. if you let them show their colors, they lose value. you can see these guys are more likely to fail, but not guaranteed... with the right level of talent i'll take a risk, but otherwise i look to trade before they lose value. if you can start to recognize things that are nearly impossible to overcome, get rid of those guys before the AI recognizes it. sure, some go on to great careers elsewhere, but a large portion are half-developed or out of league in no time. play the odds once you recognize them. start paying attention to dynamics of those that fail to devlope. not everyhting is predictable. i think batters are easier to see, but unlike pitchers you theres not 1 thing that is always goes wrong as often as a 1/100 pitch not moving. either they stagnate or they do not... pitchers stagnate all the time, lol.. .but if one pitch never budges, that's a guaranteed RP and he's not beign traded for anything of value once the AI recognizes it too... you will see it first, though.. so take advantage of it. dont' worry if power doesn't develop.. but by 24-25 if it's not at least creepign up, it's not likely going to. if it's been the same value for multiple years in AAA andinto MLB career, write it off. let someone else pin hopes on losing odds. i still rely on age... once they get to 23-24+ the odds of development keep going down even faster... peak dev ages, imo, are 18-22. 23-24 is fine... but 25-26+ is abysmal percentages and get worse each year. Last edited by NoOne; 03-17-2019 at 07:03 AM.