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Old 02-25-2019, 09:18 AM   #78
Markus Heinsohn
Developer OOTP
 
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Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Germany
Posts: 24,803
Quote:
Originally Posted by Orcin View Post
I am not a statistician, so I am asking those that are for an honest appraisal. Is this within the expected range of variance?

I took the Trouts in my league that had over 2000 plate appearances (perfect leagues only). Surely that is a big enough sample size and yes there is variation in the competition etc.

To me, a variance in OPS between .841 and .702 for a card that is rated "perfect" is pretty large. However, that .702 could be an outlier. So if you tell me that the difference between the second-best and the second-worst OPS in this list is well within the expected results, then I will accept that this level of variance is normal and shut up.


Attachment 605457
This is perfectly fine.

Guys, this is all within normal statistical variances. There is no bug, it's the way it is meant to be and it is 100% realistic. It's all about sample size and the competition that the player faces.

We could easily eliminate all variances (if AVG < Expected_AVG then player_gets_hit but that would destroy the whole engine and be totally unrealistic.

I'll close this thread now, as it discusses a problem which does not exist.
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