Quote:
Originally Posted by Orcin
I believe there is a general link between ratings and performance, but there is also an extreme amount of variability that makes the performance over small sample sizes (a season) unpredictable. Therefore, the best approach is to collect a stable of starters that can be rotated in and out during first few months until you settle on the best for that particular season. Eight or ten should be enough if they are all good.
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I have a difficult time grasping the concept of hot and cold in OOTP, especially considering they are cards, not actually people. Doesn't it make more sense that a card with certain ratings is going to perform closer to his ratings with a large enough sample size? That's why I usually ride out cold streaks when I know that card should be performing better at that level because of the dozens of other identical cards that I've seen doing it. Because of this, I don't rotate much at all. I'm not going to take Mike Trout out of the lineup when he's not even OPS'ing .700 by June because it just doesn't make sense that he would continue hitting like that.
Does a poorly performing card keep performing poorly because of past results? It doesn't make sense to me that it does.