[Maddox]

Below is a screenshot of all the Patrick Corbins in my league. Just under half the teams have him in their squad. This is all the same league so we are hopefully facing roughly equal level of talent.

I realize we are only one third of the way through the season

1. I still say that the fluctuations are too great. 7.32 era down to a 2.61 is a large fluctuation. I expect variance but that is extreme.

2. People have asked about my defense. My Corbin is the first of the two with a 5.20 ERA. I have the the lowest rated Def Eff in my conference. But look at the guy with the 2.61 ERA. He has the lowest rated def eff in the other conference.

3. Are HR allowed that big of a factor in WAR? My war is greater than someone who has a 7-1 record and an ERA nearly 3 points less. I really only out do the lowest Corbin in HR allowed and strikeouts per 9

Bottom line is that these type of huge fluctuations of a single pitcher makes me very leery to spend much on pitching. It seems like a crap shoot. I can find hitters who are fairly consistent but pitching consistency seems elusive. It seems like any pitcher with any ratings can blow up.

My Sean Doolittle is on pace to have his 3rd season (out of 4) with an ERA above 4.00. I look at his ratings and can only wonder why? Keone Kela has out pitched him in each of those 4 years.