Quote:
Originally Posted by sharpk23
Is this database available for all to see??? Just curious.
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It's not in a very legible format at the moment. I kind of put it together haphazardly. My current formula for predicted_FIP is:
FIP_p = 9.468 - .022*STUFF - .033*MOV - .027*CON
The intercept is biased since I used data mostly from Bronze/Silver/Gold leagues so the resulting FIP estimates are likely too low. Right now I just use the model for comparing SP to one another rather than for predicting their actual performance. The estimates might be pretty good if you're in a lower league, though. I'll update things after this week maybe. Note that this a very simple regression model. Nothing fancy. It assumes the effect of the ratings is linear (e.g., the difference between a 50 and 60 rating for MOV is the same as the difference between a 90 and 100 rating). The R^2 for the model is ~.62, so good but not great.