Quote:
Originally Posted by NoOne
oh, and just forget about the minors. stats don't translate for a plethora of reasons. you'll have absolutely no idea who is good or not from their stats... very mediocre players can look good at any level of the minors... less so at AAA, but still there too.
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This is what people used to say about real life baseball, too. It's not true. My impressions are not going to be exact, and there are some AAA players who will have a big year and possibly fool you, just like there are major leaguers who will do the same thing.
But in general you can tell who is going to be good or what someone's capabilities are. Age is an important factor just like RL. Control of the strike zone, both as a hitter and a pitcher, gives you a good clue on if they can handle the next level. And of course you have to look at their stats relative to the league they're playing in. Pitchers might be thrown off because you have guys learning positions behind them, or players back there who wouldn't be good enough defensively to play in the majors. It's less about literal stats and more about things like OPS+ and ERA+ and FIP.