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Old 11-30-2018, 09:23 AM   #5
sansterre
Minors (Triple A)
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 251
Quote:
Originally Posted by Westheim View Post
Does "small sample size" ring a bell with you? Or did you just calculate the total number of cards in the auction house and whether 1/1000 of those were perfect?
Of course it's worse than that.

You should expect to see:

Total number of packs opened / 200 * (percentage of perfects that happen to be on the AH at that moment as Perfects, if sold, will likely only be sold once)

All I'm saying is that 1) you have no idea how many people that draw perfects are keeping them and 2) you have no idea how many of the people who decided to sell them have already done so.
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