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I think it's two-fold
1) You are matching up against far better teams across the board with pitching being a large part of that.
2) You are matching up with far better teams across the board with a higher ratio of good hitters and namely "power hitters" which serve to eat up some of the homeruns.
For sake of simplicity and keeping and even field what You are doing is the way to go (and I have done that as well and for simplicity sake still will do that in many cases).
However my main issue with that is this (hopefully I can actually explain it): the engine is geared to generate numbers on par with 1986 in Your case and it does that very well (even more so if you recalculate before You begin play).
But in both cases (and even more so if You recalculate) You really aren't in 1986 you have a 86 feel with nothing but killer teams across the board which will kind of rob from the numbers.
I don't know if there's a perfect answer and I've tired a few things to balance that a bit and they seem to work but to what degree I don't know.
To get closer would take a lot more work n time than I have to do just for fun .
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