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Further reading and Sabermetrics
Just wondering if many other players are having success incorporating sabermetric analysis into their save as ive been reading a few books and articles on these theories and ive had varying success so far.
For instance a book i was reading about two baseball writers who ran an independant minor league franchise for a year put foward how the probability of a successful stolen base should then affect decision making.
I think it was anything 75% or above likelihood of success was a net positive but anything less was a negative for overall run production.
I may be misquoting as that idea may instead be from The next Shift’ by Russell Carleton but what i took away from it was that as i can assess steal attempts success rate in OOTP then i can work out which players are capable of benefitting or hurting my team in a steal situation.
One of these books also attempted to explode the myth of the bunt being a useful option as again the percentage of times a bunt helps your team produce runs drops even if you advance a runner already on base.
As i result ive been much more selective which of my players i give the green light for a steal to and ive also massively reduced how often my team bunts so i’ll see how this pans out over the next few seasons.
Linked to this if there’s any other helpful reading that anyone can point me to then i’d happily look further into it.
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