Quote:
Originally Posted by NCBeachBum
1. I'd say that's a bit of a personal choice thing. I personally start with wOBA, then look for anything else that might change the order after that in my mind. Choosing the power-less I tend to start with ISO, then make sure HR/PA isn't vastly skewed for some reason to change my mind after that. But you could made arguments for other methods.
2. Once they get to a certain point (for me personally that's around 150 PAs in the R/L split at hand, though this does lead to lefty lineups staying fairly static most of the season), I start changing based on the season's performance.
3. I ignore it, mostly. Sometimes one of the 1/3 guys will have a lot more speed than the other and I'll make certain to put him leadoff as long as the OBPs are somewhat comparable.
Just a note, the reason for the lack of power in the 3-hole and best hitter in the 2-hole, which flies in the face of most RL lineups, is because the only spot that comes up with the bases empty more than the #3 spot in the leadoff spot. Those guys bat without men on a lot, so power can be somewhat wasted there. Also why avoiding HR power there is more important than avoiding gap power.
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Actually, in a lot of cases, the 3-spot is the best spot for a guy with mostly empty power. Sure, I'd rather hit the HR with someone on base, but if there's 2 out and nobody on, I'm not going to look a gift solo shot in the mouth - better than a guy who hits a double and then gets stranded there.
Personally, I like to take the best OBP and put them at the top, and then how I arrange the rest of the lineup honestly takes so many things into conversation, notably:
-I'd rather put a better avg hitter after a person with speed.
-Try to avoid having too many lefties in a row
-Avoid having a guy who hits into DP higher up in the lineup
So I guess if I had to choose, I would likely end up with:
1: Highest OBP
2: Best hitter with low DP/high OBP
3: High power if possible, else just whoever balances out 2/4
4: Best hitter who's not the 2-hitter
with 5-8/9 then sorted according to the rules above.
But again, this will vary a lot with the team talent. If I have, say, Votto hitting leadoff, then I worry more about DP, since I know he won't steal much. But if I had Betts there, then I would probably rather have a higher average hitter in my 2/3 spots, since there's a higher chance he can swipe a base. Of course that varies too depending on who else is in the lineup - if I only have 1 or 2 "top" hitters, then I don't want them leadoff, I'll more likely use a more "traditional" leadoff hitter. But if I'm building an all-star lineup, then OBP/raw talent rules all.