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There is a certain amount of randomness to the player development engine. So yes, some players will experience "breakthroughs" and others won't. It's not driven by draft round, certainly. Age is a factor. Young players will experience significant changes more than veterans.
If you find this jarring or you don't enjoy it, go to Game Settings | Players & Facegen, and look on the left side for a setting called "Talent Change Randomness." You can set this value to a lower number which will reduce the random talent changes, although many players tend to set it in the low 100s. I know a lot of people who play between 100 and 135. I have it at 115.
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