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Yep, the above covers it well.
Basically, if a player is on the major roster, we assume he'll be there the rest of the year. Guys who are "possibly" eligible tend to be those super-2 guys as above, and since that super-2 date isn't known until the end of the season, we at least like to give you a warning when a guy might be eligible.
The estimates are just that, estimates. They're updated as needed, so Lamet could pitch a perfect game and tomorrow when you check the estimates maybe he's pegged for an extra 1M. But they'll vary a lot - for example, if he ends up in arbitration for the 2020 A* year, then his 2021 year is obviously going to be more than 700k, since we'll at least estimate him for the 10-15% raise he'd be due. I wouldn't put too much stock in them - I find they tend to be pretty low for most people, but you can think of it somewhat as putting a little money aside for them, so you can see if you have a lot of guys with high estimates, it might be worth thinking now about your budget a few years down the road.
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