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fwiw, i think related things were being tweaked for at least the last 2-3 patches... and may continue to affect what you are seeing.
leads to a rhetorical question -- this is on most recent update, correct?. a definite change in last patch would affect what you see in GS.
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Yes , latest patch. Both the simulated numbers and the real-life MLB 2017 numbers are for Games not Games Started.