[32koufax]

Originally Posted by NoOne

splits don't guarantee results in practice... only over an infinite sample of locked factors it does.

so, ootp make sthe splits based on stats from real life. there is a real difference. some will display accurately through 1 seasons results, some will not... what is guarnateed is the probability each time they step up to the plate based on their ratings and all other relevant factors that go into the calculation in the 1 context/PA. so, if they are better vs L or better vs R it is a real split... odds over time will bear that out.

just as in RL.. .you can find a guy with a ~normal or even ~severe split for his career.. .however, you can also find individual years where this split was ~even or opposite of what you'd expect... simply a small sample result.

now, if the trend changes from first half to second half of career you could probably attriubte that to some adjustment or improvement in the player over time.. these types of things are always possible, butjust another layer of the onion to peel back.

if the ratings show a split, it's just like strat-o-matic -- as long as stratomatice was a calculation based on probability and not some pre-determined split-result each and every time. if it allowed probability to do its thing, it is the exact same process as ootp...

the difference would be the method of how that split was determined e.g. mantly may have a different split in ootp than in strat-o-matic. But, once the ratings are choosen and a split in those ratings results, that affects probability of success in an absolute way even if ~100-200ab says differently..

law of independent results.

this ignored roundingn errors and scouting accuracy... that's common sense to apply how that would affect what you see. if in doubt, turn on comissioner mode and you can see the real ratings 100% accuracy.

I do play single season historical replays w/ commish mode turned on. Thx for explanation!!!
Jack