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Originally Posted by majesty95
That's a great example and helps to clarify it, especially the Cone example in Dodger Stadium.
My question would then be, what would make Kent Hrbek hit .55 higher than his career high and Tom Brunansky hit 60% more home runs than his career high playing on the same team in the same ballpark?
I guess my thing with those is that those are outliers for that player's career. I can see how maybe they get hot and hit .20 to .30 higher than their career best or even 8-10 HRs more (assuming 32 is the career high). I just have a hard time wrapping my head around two guys who played 14 years in the MLB outperforming their real life career highs so dramatically seemingly in the same situation. What makes it even more weird is that they have done it (along with Gaetti) in multiple versions making me wonder if its a Metrodome thing in game.
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Could be? I've found that the Park Factors are wildly different, especially when comparing to a site such as Baseball-Reference where a run environment irl may be 101 but the PF in the game is like 107 for some reason. I know the "ideal" is to go by 3-5 year PFs but I find teams usually would change so I think it doesn't adequately reflect how the park may've played that particular season. Having a lineup of Bichette/Castilla/Walker/Galaragga hitting at Coors Field in 1996 is far different than having most of those guys gone by 2001.
For his career, Hrbek did hit .298 at home against .266 on the road along with 19 more HR. That's a difference of 0.032, decent jump.
With that said, I would need more details though.
#1: What were the PFs year to year? Outside of an outlier 1987 (95), it was routinely 105-107 in the Run Environment according to Baseball-Reference. So about 5-7% above whatever the league average run environment would be.
#2: What were the recalc settings at? 3 years? Double current season?
#3: Are these single season outliers you're talking about? How are their career totals if you're looking at single season performances?
#4: It could just be a simple case of the pitchers they faced ratings wise. Maybe they faced lesser talented relievers far more often or opposing star pitchers got injured so they feasted on the #3-#5 pitchers more than usual?
One thing I've found is that players tend to be... extreme far more often in OOTP 18 than in past versions. I had a guy, despite playing on OOTP Development, hit something like 57 HRs one season yet he finished his career usually around the 27-33 range outside of that single season.
Some of that I attribute to the assigned PFs in the game. IIRC Spritz? has said ideally to play it with all parks set to neutral but that takes away the charm for me of a Bonds hitting at Fenway or a Pedro pitching at Qualcomm Stadium. With that said, I've found that the PFs can vary wildly especially if you're going by 1 Year PF where "pitcher's parks" irl that are usually 96-98 can suddenly show up as say a 1.010 for BA and HR in the game for some reason.