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funny, i think there are posts saying the opposite about these pop-up window choices in game.
one the game pops up these 1-off questions, it's only for sitautions that are "close" -- however ootp defines that.
point is, it's not going to give you a clear picture of "normal" to infer anything about % success of league-wide results. they won't match up, inhrently.
i would base it on results of those situation with experience... it's still correlated to speed/runing skill and fielder's arm. the question is only asked when there is a slimmer room for error.
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