Quote:
Originally Posted by ThePretender
I don't think Yelich for Herrera straight up is fair though. Yeah, Herrera plays CF, but look at those ratings - 40/45 contact, 45/50 avoid K, 45/50 eye, 35/40 HR, 60/60 gap....
That offence that Herrerra has shown isn't sustainable. A guy with those ratings shouldn't be a league average bat. And a plus CF with a below average bat is a useful player, but more in the 2-2.5 WAR range per 150 games. With that kind of bat/glove, Yelich is more like a 4-5 WAR player. I'd be safer saying Herrera is closer to half the player Yelich is, as opposed to 4/5 the player he is.
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That's a reasonable enough assessment for sure.
I think the offense for Herrera is probably a bit more sustainable than you do, and I think you're overrating Yelich a little since I'd see him as more of a 3-4 WAR guy than a 4-5 WAR guy.
But even with your assessment, if he's even half the player, he makes half the money and has one year more of team control left than Yelich does.
When you then factor in the other guys as I mentioned, even if Herrera's half the player Yelich is, I still think it's a pretty balanced deal.
But that gets down to why I think this is pretty much the definition of a fair trade. You can make a pretty logical argument for either side of the deal and it's really just a matter of personal opinion as to which factors you weigh more heavily.
It's a matter of how much you value things like saving money, better defense as opposed to better offense, how much value a couple of youngish and cheapish average MLB players like Joseph and Hernandez have and what you think of Williams as a prospect.
So to put it another way, if I'm the Yankees or Dodgers, I'd rather take the Yelich side of the deal. If I'm the Marlins or A's, I'd rather take the Herrera side. That's pretty balanced!