Quote:
Originally Posted by RchW
Simple arithmetic ensures that any home team in baseball gets 12.5% more outs so there is a default home advantage just from that. Since total wins and losses each season are 2430 or 0.500 ignoring rainouts suspended games etc then:
27/24=1.125 and 1.125X0.500=0.5625 so home teams should theoretically win 56% if the time. IRL historically it is slightly less say 0.550 and trending down in recent seasons.
In my experience OOTP seems to model this well
Baseball Reference has a note on it.
https://www.baseball-reference.com/b...ield_advantage
A betting site
https://www.betfirm.com/mlb-home-field-advantage/ |
Um... I'd like an explanation of how a team playing at home gets 12.5% more outs than the visiting team? Assuming they are down and the bottom of the 9th is played, both teams still get 27 outs.