OOTP Developments Forums - View Single Post - Would You Draft Bickle With The 3rd Overall Pick?

NoOne · 11-02-2017, 11:37 AM

i agree that a 24yo who's been in your mil system since 18 that stalls out, is most likely done developing.

however, i wouldn't hesitate on a college kid in the draft. you can likely pop him into A/AA then likely AAA by end of year if he does well / improves his ratings over the year. age as well as service time is the influence here... since he has zero service time, you'll be okay. probably more likely he develops, since he's "1/2 plus" developed on day one.

i've seen these types of players be ready by July to at least be a decent mlb player, if not fully developed (power lags often). i always keep a close on on older draftees that are A-ball or better current ability (almost always go hand in hand with age, ~22ish+)... they won't take long.

the biggest thing to him being a bust is whether your scout was accurate about his power... it's one of the least accurate things in the draft, if not the most inaccurate batting rating. this guy loses 10-20% of that potential power and all of a sudden he's about a "3" star potential instead of 4.5. contact will drop a few ticks, and a singles machine that can't hit more than ~15hr is a leadoff / bottom of order player.

a bad arm as 2nd is no problem... if his 2b position "disappears" from his profile, that's when i'd worry. he's 6' and can play 1b or DH -- always a place for a power bat. can continue to look for a better 2b until that time.

position and offense are 2 mutually exclusive things. 8 batters that can fill 8 position in the field -- doesn't matter who plays where in any way. all that matters is that you find the best 8 that can fill both well. ie don't look for a "type" of hitter at any position... let what is available dictate.

i've had a speed demon 1b with ~0 power for all intents and purposes... still scored same # of runs i expected to score. more likely this won't be the case, but don't avoid it just because it's not "normal" -- be creative and make it work. better off in long-run. definitely requires a bit more planning and may need a slugger in a non-tradistional slugger position. so many ways to balance it and make it work. "normal" is for double digit IQs to worry about.

11-02-2017, 11:37 AM	#7
NoOne Banned Join Date: Apr 2015 Posts: 7,273 Infractions: 0/1 (3)	i agree that a 24yo who's been in your mil system since 18 that stalls out, is most likely done developing. however, i wouldn't hesitate on a college kid in the draft. you can likely pop him into A/AA then likely AAA by end of year if he does well / improves his ratings over the year. age as well as service time is the influence here... since he has zero service time, you'll be okay. probably more likely he develops, since he's "1/2 plus" developed on day one. i've seen these types of players be ready by July to at least be a decent mlb player, if not fully developed (power lags often). i always keep a close on on older draftees that are A-ball or better current ability (almost always go hand in hand with age, ~22ish+)... they won't take long. the biggest thing to him being a bust is whether your scout was accurate about his power... it's one of the least accurate things in the draft, if not the most inaccurate batting rating. this guy loses 10-20% of that potential power and all of a sudden he's about a "3" star potential instead of 4.5. contact will drop a few ticks, and a singles machine that can't hit more than ~15hr is a leadoff / bottom of order player. a bad arm as 2nd is no problem... if his 2b position "disappears" from his profile, that's when i'd worry. he's 6' and can play 1b or DH -- always a place for a power bat. can continue to look for a better 2b until that time. position and offense are 2 mutually exclusive things. 8 batters that can fill 8 position in the field -- doesn't matter who plays where in any way. all that matters is that you find the best 8 that can fill both well. ie don't look for a "type" of hitter at any position... let what is available dictate. i've had a speed demon 1b with ~0 power for all intents and purposes... still scored same # of runs i expected to score. more likely this won't be the case, but don't avoid it just because it's not "normal" -- be creative and make it work. better off in long-run. definitely requires a bit more planning and may need a slugger in a non-tradistional slugger position. so many ways to balance it and make it work. "normal" is for double digit IQs to worry about. Last edited by NoOne; 11-02-2017 at 11:48 AM.