
my thoughts
I think a random factor is predetermined before the game, perhaps in the schedule, that some days are going to be tough for certain pitchers.
This could occur at the outset of the game or perhaps certain innings -
For me- the key is recognizing this so I can make changes. In this sense, when I see pitchers giving up hard hit balls, even if caught, or going deep into the count on a regular basis - I think about taking them out - even if they have not allowed any runs yet.
If you don't play your games out, try changing your strategy settings to pull pitchers as quick as possible. This will minimize the damage when it does come
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 Mark
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