Quote:
Originally Posted by Bahnzo
I should specify, I was really meaning int draft picks that show potential. Do you still want to let them stew until 20?
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I find if they struggle mightily in the lower levels (which most 18 year olds do unless they are like the next David Ortiz, and even those guys fail too.) their ratings die faster than Adam Rowen's baseball career.
For example, I had this international scouted guy, 5 star potential, basically the second coming of Juan Marchial. So I promote him at 17 to the Rookie leagues. He dominates in his first year. However, in subsequent years, when he's 18 and in single A he gets absolutely destroyed posting a 7.72 ERA in 19 starts in Single A and a 6.44 ERA in 5 starts in A+. So in consequence of my over zealousness in promoting him his ratings by OSA AND my scout drop from "5 star Juan Marchial" to "3 star Taijuan Walker wannabe"
Fast forward to present day and he hasn't posted good enough numbers to get out of double AA at 27. Basically, his ratings tanked after that one good season, now hes routinely posting plus 4 ERAs, his control tanked, his change up never developed. He basically flamed out at 20 and was never the same.
I believe it was that I was basically forcing him into competition that he wasn't ready for at 19. I mean, this is obviously a subjective example, but from now on I just let them naturally assimilate into my program when they turn 20. So they can actually spend maybe a month in Rookie then actually be able to hold their own against the single A competition.