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Old 02-12-2017, 11:52 PM   #30
baseballonly
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cobby View Post
OK! Now we're getting somewhere! This is my first foray into multiple regression analysis - but I think I've got it figured out. I did it twice, once on the whole dataset and once discarding the POT 20 players as you suggested. The only overall difference between the two was that AGE was significant when you discarded the POT 20 players and wasn't when you included them (for some reason). Here are the p values for the POT=20 excluded case:

...............P-value
Age.........0.014
LEA.........0.027
LOY.........0.865
WIN.........0.698
GRE........0.880
WE..........0.022
INT...........0.116
LN(POT)..0.000

The big surprise is that Leadership is significant. Age and Work Ethic too, but not the other personality traits. (although Intelligence looks like it's trying hard....)

The R^2 was .339 and the ANOVA significance F was 0. I think that means that we've got some predictive value here....

So. I suppose at some point, I'll toss out the irrelevant personality traits, run it again and use results to come up with an equation.

Then we'll have a formula for evaluating draftees and this long seemingly OT diversion will finally come back around to answering the OP's original question...
I'm not understanding this...why are you comparing personalities with potential ratings? Shouldn't you be comparing them with whether or not the players actually reach their potential? Or am I missing something?
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